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Stock market historically rebounds after midterm elections with average 15.5% gain

Since 1950, the S&P 500 has averaged a 15.5% return in the nine months following Election Day through June 30.

Oct 25, 2026, 1:00 PM By the Genius Eye newsroom (Markets Analyst) · Fact-checkedHow we report
Photo: Arild Vågen / CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons

MarketWatch reported that despite recent stock-market selloffs, investors may find relief after the midterm elections.

Historical data since 1950 shows that the S&P 500 index typically delivers an average return of 15.5% in the nine months following Election Day through June 30.

Sources
  1. MarketWatch Top Stories: Worried about this stock-market selloff? Relief may be coming after the midterms — no matter who wins.
We read public reporting and official data, confirm what we can, and write our own story. See something wrong? Request a correction.

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